Race 3B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Butti 21.0% 23.1% 20.3% 17.4% 9.3% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 38.2% 28.2% 16.3% 10.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Crouch Crouch 14.9% 14.9% 18.3% 16.9% 17.5% 10.8% 5.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 10.8% 16.6% 18.4% 18.8% 15.2% 11.4% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 5.2% 5.3% 8.7% 10.5% 15.2% 16.7% 15.4% 11.7% 6.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 2.0% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 7.3% 11.2% 15.7% 15.9% 16.7% 12.4% 6.3% 1.9% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 9.6% 11.8% 15.9% 17.7% 17.7% 12.9% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 3.0% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 9.9% 13.1% 20.9% 35.8% 0.0%
Michael DeNigris 3.7% 4.7% 7.1% 10.4% 13.9% 18.6% 17.1% 12.5% 8.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.8% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 3.3% 6.3% 10.6% 15.9% 15.1% 17.3% 14.8% 7.1% 0.0%
Andrew Werner 1.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.7% 4.1% 7.3% 9.7% 14.8% 16.5% 18.2% 14.9% 7.8% 0.0%
James Peaco 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 6.1% 9.6% 15.0% 23.6% 34.2% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.8% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 3.3% 6.3% 10.6% 15.9% 15.1% 17.3% 14.8% 7.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.