Race 10C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ximena Escobar 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 10.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.5% 10.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6%
Brielle Willoughby 14.0% 14.2% 15.3% 11.3% 11.5% 9.4% 7.4% 5.7% 5.5% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Avery Canavan 3.2% 4.8% 4.9% 7.0% 5.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.5% 11.2% 9.7%
Cordelia Burn 14.9% 14.8% 12.3% 13.4% 10.8% 9.9% 7.4% 6.0% 3.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Lucy Spearman 7.2% 5.8% 8.3% 8.2% 6.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 9.5% 8.3% 6.5% 4.7%
Sophie Fisher 17.5% 16.6% 15.4% 10.8% 9.6% 8.5% 7.7% 4.8% 4.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Kay Brunsvold 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 8.3% 8.9% 9.3% 10.1% 8.2% 8.2% 6.7% 7.0% 4.1% 2.1%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 5.3% 5.7% 7.2% 8.7% 8.3% 12.2% 16.3% 18.9%
Emily Scherer 6.5% 6.3% 6.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.6% 8.3% 9.2% 8.0% 9.7% 8.1% 6.5% 5.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 4.8% 7.9% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 11.2% 14.9% 18.1%
Sophia Peck 5.6% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 9.2% 6.3% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 9.9% 8.7% 6.4%
Lourdes Gallo 4.8% 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 9.1% 11.0% 10.4% 10.2% 9.9%
Lily Flack 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 10.8% 14.6% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.