Race 11C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.1% 14.6% 13.1% 11.9% 10.9% 10.2% 6.5% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Avery Canavan 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 8.4%
Lourdes Gallo 4.0% 4.8% 4.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.4% 11.7% 10.5% 8.7% 8.4%
Sophie Fisher 17.0% 16.2% 14.3% 11.0% 11.1% 9.4% 6.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Lucy Spearman 7.2% 6.1% 7.5% 7.5% 8.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 6.7% 4.6%
Kay Brunsvold 8.2% 8.4% 10.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.3% 7.1% 4.3% 2.2%
Cordelia Burn 16.5% 13.6% 13.1% 12.3% 10.0% 9.3% 9.1% 5.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Lily Flack 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.9% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.1% 12.4% 14.2% 17.8%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.2% 3.7% 3.3% 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 10.1% 12.9% 13.7% 22.2%
Emily Scherer 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 9.3% 9.1% 7.0% 7.6% 4.7%
Ximena Escobar 7.6% 9.5% 8.5% 9.8% 8.1% 10.0% 9.9% 9.6% 7.6% 8.2% 4.8% 3.6% 2.8%
Sophia Peck 4.5% 5.6% 5.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 11.5% 8.4% 10.4% 9.7% 9.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 10.0% 11.0% 15.8% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.