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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.50+4.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+2.05vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.01+6.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+2.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.97+0.51vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.74+0.33vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+2.04vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-2.11vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University0.77+1.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.94vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.24-2.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.13+0.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.17-4.39vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.37-9.89vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.11-2.50vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University0.28-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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11.22Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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12.41Georgetown University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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10.27Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.01U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.5Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.7Georgetown University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughes | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Max Kleha | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 24.2% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Younger | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 29.1% |
| Anson Walker | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.