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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+5.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+4.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.50+2.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+5.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.17+5.60vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.77+6.19vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+3.40vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+2.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-2.12vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.74-2.45vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.97-4.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.08-6.04vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71-5.70vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University0.28-1.22vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.01-4.57vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.11-2.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.13-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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12.19Georgetown University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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13.78Georgetown University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.52Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.16U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Anson Walker | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Parker Younger | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 28.0% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.