← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.55+4.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+5.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+5.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.50+1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.77+6.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.97+0.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.92vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-3.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.88vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.74-2.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-0.41vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University0.28+0.68vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-3.29vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.24-4.62vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-6.24vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.11-2.59vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.13-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.0%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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5.56Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.25Georgetown University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.59Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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13.68Georgetown University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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10.38Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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14.41Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.2U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Hughes | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Anson Walker | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Parker Younger | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 28.3% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.