← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.74+7.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.35+4.35vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.30vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.50+1.57vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.24+5.31vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.37+0.12vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.53vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University0.28+4.87vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University0.77+2.38vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.01-0.39vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.97-5.58vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-3.30vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy1.17-4.35vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-6.23vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy0.13-2.61vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.11-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.62Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
5.57Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.31Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.12Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.47U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
-
13.87Georgetown University0.280.0%1st Place
-
12.38Georgetown University0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
-
11.61Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.42Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
-
10.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.65U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
-
14.39U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
-
14.21Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Anson Walker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Kleha | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 27.4% |
| Parker Younger | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.