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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.50+4.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.35+4.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+7.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+6.27vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.77+7.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+1.55vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37-1.92vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-1.40vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.01+1.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.97-3.29vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University0.28+2.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.17-2.41vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.74-5.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.08-7.95vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-4.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.13-2.64vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.11-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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10.27Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.0Georgetown University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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11.59Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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14.09Georgetown University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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14.16Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughes | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Anson Walker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 23.3% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 26.2% |
| Parker Younger | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.