Race 1A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 50.5% 26.2% 11.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Graham 13.8% 20.5% 20.7% 15.6% 13.8% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Matthew Thompson 7.5% 10.4% 13.7% 15.2% 16.3% 15.6% 11.8% 7.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Will Cyr 8.4% 15.3% 17.9% 17.9% 14.7% 11.7% 9.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Eric DeFeo 10.0% 12.4% 16.6% 18.3% 16.3% 11.7% 8.2% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Nathaniel Walden 3.8% 4.6% 4.9% 7.8% 9.5% 13.4% 16.7% 16.5% 13.1% 9.7%
Steven Catlin 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.8% 5.4% 6.3% 13.7% 18.5% 21.1% 26.1%
Anthony Julian 1.8% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6% 10.1% 12.0% 15.2% 25.0% 19.9%
Charlie Trost 2.1% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 10.2% 14.4% 14.0% 18.3% 14.5% 8.4%
Jamie Gay 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 4.9% 7.6% 9.5% 14.3% 20.8% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.