Race 2A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 49.8% 26.6% 12.8% 6.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric DeFeo 9.5% 12.3% 16.3% 16.7% 14.5% 13.3% 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Matthew Thompson 7.8% 10.5% 13.4% 14.4% 17.5% 13.9% 13.2% 6.3% 2.1% 0.9%
Matthew Graham 13.4% 20.7% 19.7% 17.6% 13.2% 9.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 4.3% 6.3% 8.0% 8.8% 15.3% 24.6% 25.3%
Anthony Julian 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 6.2% 9.5% 12.6% 15.1% 21.5% 22.6%
Will Cyr 9.7% 13.3% 17.6% 18.2% 15.4% 12.0% 7.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Jamie Gay 0.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 7.6% 10.9% 14.4% 19.5% 34.1%
Nathaniel Walden 2.4% 4.9% 5.2% 7.9% 10.2% 12.9% 15.8% 17.9% 14.3% 8.5%
Charlie Trost 2.2% 3.9% 6.2% 7.0% 10.2% 12.0% 17.1% 19.0% 14.6% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.