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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+4.33vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.48+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.68vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.76-1.06vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+0.07vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.64vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.74-0.34vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94+0.75vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-3.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.84vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.07Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.36SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.66Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.75Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Max Anker | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Owen Timms | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Chapman Petersen | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 47.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 6.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.