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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.76+5.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.30vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.45vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+5.72vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66-0.68vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.48-0.90vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.32vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-1.78vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-2.46vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.75vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-4.10vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.45SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.72Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 46.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Max Anker | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Owen Timms | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.