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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.16vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+4.31vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+8.48vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.15vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+2.31vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79-1.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.90+0.96vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48-1.77vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-2.41vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-6.70vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-5.49vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.48Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.23College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.3SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Matthew King | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 47.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% |
| Max Anker | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Owen Timms | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.