Race 4A

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Atlee Kohl 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.9% 5.9% 5.2% 5.6% 4.8% 1.4%
Noyl Odom 5.6% 7.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.7% 5.1% 7.9% 7.1% 7.3% 9.6% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 5.1%
Owen Timms 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 7.4% 8.6% 9.7% 7.4% 3.1%
Jordan Bruce 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 9.6% 8.2% 10.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 3.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Charlie Anderson 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 8.2% 6.3% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 5.9% 2.9%
Mateo Di Blasi 9.0% 9.1% 9.3% 9.0% 10.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 6.9% 6.4% 4.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.3%
Benton Amthor 14.8% 13.0% 12.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.8% 6.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Matthew King 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 3.6% 2.7% 4.4% 5.3% 7.0% 14.7% 46.5%
Chapman Petersen 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 8.4% 11.0% 7.3% 10.1% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 6.3% 3.4% 3.7% 1.7%
Gavin McJones 9.1% 8.1% 9.9% 9.0% 9.3% 8.0% 8.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.3% 6.1% 5.6% 2.0% 1.7%
Micky Munns 4.9% 4.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 9.6% 10.0% 10.1% 10.1% 8.9%
Eden Nykamp 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 3.9% 5.2% 5.0% 6.8% 5.9% 9.2% 9.5% 10.6% 16.4% 13.5%
Max Anker 7.2% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 6.5% 5.0% 3.4%
Patrick Dolan 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 5.5% 7.4% 7.6% 9.7% 12.2% 13.1% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.