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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+2.19vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+2.29vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.48-0.11vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94+3.48vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90+0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.69vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.70vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.76-5.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-4.59vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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11.48Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.44Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Owen Timms | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.7% |
| Max Anker | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Matthew King | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 46.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.