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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.11vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+5.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+3.16vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+3.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.76+0.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.48-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.96vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.94+2.71vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.71vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.74-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-5.38vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-4.04vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.34SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.71Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.65Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Chapman Petersen | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Anker | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 45.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Owen Timms | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.