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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+6.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+9.50vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+5.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+2.17vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.76+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+0.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.02vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.48-0.90vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.90vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.32vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-2.93vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.80vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.5Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.34Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.41Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Matthew King | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 43.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Chapman Petersen | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Max Anker | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Micky Munns | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Owen Timms | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.