Race 8A

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jordan Bruce 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 8.8% 8.7% 10.6% 7.7% 7.4% 6.5% 5.8% 4.6% 3.8% 3.1% 1.4%
Noyl Odom 5.8% 6.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.1% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 10.6% 7.4% 5.0%
Mateo Di Blasi 10.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 7.3% 8.8% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 6.9% 5.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2%
Charlie Anderson 6.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 8.5% 7.4% 9.3% 6.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.9% 6.6% 3.3%
Chapman Petersen 8.7% 8.3% 9.7% 9.8% 8.9% 7.9% 8.8% 6.3% 8.5% 6.4% 6.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
Owen Timms 7.0% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.7% 7.4% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 8.0% 8.3% 4.6%
Max Anker 8.0% 8.8% 7.1% 8.6% 8.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 9.3% 7.5% 6.5% 6.4% 5.5% 2.1%
Atlee Kohl 8.9% 8.6% 9.5% 7.9% 9.7% 6.4% 8.8% 6.8% 7.9% 6.5% 5.4% 6.8% 4.7% 2.1%
Gavin McJones 9.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 8.3% 9.7% 7.9% 7.6% 5.9% 7.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.3%
Benton Amthor 11.8% 12.4% 11.1% 11.9% 9.3% 8.1% 8.2% 8.8% 5.9% 4.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Patrick Dolan 4.0% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 5.8% 6.3% 8.2% 11.4% 11.3% 12.5% 10.7%
Micky Munns 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.7% 9.1% 10.7% 8.0%
Eden Nykamp 3.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.7% 3.9% 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 5.9% 8.6% 7.9% 12.3% 16.3% 13.1%
Matthew King 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.4% 14.3% 45.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.