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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+5.02vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+5.49vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.10vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.74vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94+4.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.81vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66-3.32vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.48-3.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-2.96vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.83vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.05SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.28Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.39Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.41Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Chapman Petersen | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Owen Timms | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Matthew King | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 44.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Max Anker | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.