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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+5.06vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.76+3.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+2.62vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.48-0.15vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-0.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.69vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.74-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-4.35vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-2.94vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94-1.39vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.06SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.68Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.06Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.61Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.97Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 14.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% |
| Max Anker | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Owen Timms | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 13.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Matthew King | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 45.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.