Race 3A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 50.4% 25.8% 13.2% 6.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric DeFeo 9.5% 12.7% 15.7% 16.9% 15.8% 14.4% 8.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Matthew Graham 14.1% 17.6% 20.6% 18.3% 14.2% 9.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Anthony Julian 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 4.7% 5.6% 9.2% 14.7% 16.4% 21.6% 21.4%
Charlie Trost 2.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 8.7% 13.0% 16.3% 17.3% 13.8% 8.5%
Matthew Thompson 8.7% 13.2% 12.7% 15.4% 16.1% 13.9% 10.3% 7.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Steven Catlin 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 3.3% 6.7% 7.0% 12.6% 16.0% 22.2% 27.2%
Nathaniel Walden 2.2% 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 10.7% 12.7% 16.0% 17.8% 15.5% 7.1%
Jamie Gay 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 6.2% 10.7% 14.7% 21.2% 34.0%
Will Cyr 8.3% 15.6% 16.7% 17.4% 15.5% 12.7% 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.