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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+8.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.88vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.14+9.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.40vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29+1.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.01vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49-0.73vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+2.28vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-3.76vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-4.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-0.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.06-5.74vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.61vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.07-3.42vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.40-5.81vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.9%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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12.7University of Wisconsin1.142.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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8.4University of Pennsylvania2.426.8%1st Place
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7.6Yale University2.297.0%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.9111.6%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston2.498.9%1st Place
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10.12Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.387.6%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University2.408.5%1st Place
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12.25Old Dominion University1.812.3%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.066.7%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.9%1st Place
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12.58George Washington University1.072.7%1st Place
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11.19North Carolina State University1.403.1%1st Place
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13.67SUNY Maritime College0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Robert Chase | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.