Race 1B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diego Escobar 9.6% 10.8% 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.1% 7.8% 5.3% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0%
Nick Chisari 8.2% 7.7% 8.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 8.4% 7.3% 9.7% 7.9% 5.3% 3.2% 2.3%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.5% 5.0% 4.1% 5.3% 5.3% 4.6% 5.1% 7.9% 8.3% 7.5% 9.3% 12.1% 11.2% 9.8%
Nathan Smith 15.8% 14.5% 14.1% 11.2% 11.0% 8.2% 6.2% 7.3% 4.6% 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Diogo Silva 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 4.4% 3.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.1% 7.7% 9.3% 11.1% 16.7% 19.7%
Griffin Richardson 1.9% 3.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 6.2% 7.3% 10.5% 11.3% 16.9% 22.9%
Owen Bannasch 7.4% 8.8% 8.0% 6.7% 6.8% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 10.0% 6.9% 7.7% 4.9% 4.1% 2.9%
Lawson Levine 7.9% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.1% 8.0% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 6.0% 6.9% 4.1% 2.3%
Justin Lim 12.8% 10.3% 11.4% 11.7% 10.8% 9.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.4% 4.9% 2.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Javier Garcon 8.0% 6.6% 8.8% 10.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.1%
Noah Robitshek 4.5% 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 7.2% 8.1% 8.7% 11.5% 9.5% 10.5% 8.4%
Steven Hardee 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 8.3% 7.8% 9.1% 9.2% 7.7% 10.6% 6.7% 6.3%
Peter Lobaugh 9.8% 10.6% 8.6% 10.4% 8.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Max Kleha 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 8.7% 12.2% 16.5% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.