Race 3B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Javier Garcon 7.5% 10.5% 9.8% 7.6% 9.7% 7.8% 9.1% 9.2% 7.1% 5.0% 6.3% 4.7% 4.1% 1.6%
Nathan Smith 17.5% 14.3% 14.9% 10.6% 9.6% 10.2% 7.7% 5.0% 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Noah Robitshek 4.4% 4.5% 5.8% 4.8% 6.9% 5.5% 4.5% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 11.8% 10.0% 7.8%
Steven Hardee 4.2% 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 6.7% 5.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 9.4% 9.0% 8.3% 10.1% 5.5%
Lawson Levine 7.2% 7.0% 8.8% 9.2% 7.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.7% 7.9% 7.1% 7.3% 6.2% 3.1% 2.3%
Diogo Silva 2.4% 3.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 3.6% 6.3% 7.3% 9.0% 9.3% 11.2% 14.5% 20.3%
Justin Lim 13.6% 13.6% 11.6% 11.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.0% 7.2% 6.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Diego Escobar 10.2% 11.6% 8.8% 9.7% 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 4.8% 3.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Nick Chisari 7.3% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 7.1% 8.4% 10.8% 8.8% 5.7% 11.0% 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 2.9%
Peter Lobaugh 8.6% 9.3% 8.9% 10.5% 10.0% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 5.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Owen Bannasch 7.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 7.6% 10.0% 7.2% 6.6% 7.4% 5.0% 3.1%
Max Kleha 2.4% 2.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.3% 10.8% 15.8% 24.7%
Griffin Richardson 2.9% 2.6% 2.3% 3.5% 3.2% 4.1% 3.5% 5.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.8% 11.0% 15.7% 22.7%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 6.6% 5.2% 6.4% 6.0% 8.7% 8.3% 11.9% 10.3% 11.9% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.