Race 4B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 15.7% 16.3% 15.3% 10.9% 8.5% 8.4% 7.0% 6.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Javier Garcon 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 9.6% 9.9% 7.8% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5%
Diego Escobar 10.1% 10.6% 8.6% 10.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.1% 7.3% 7.5% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 1.1%
Lawson Levine 6.3% 8.8% 6.9% 8.1% 9.7% 9.3% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 7.4% 7.5% 4.8% 4.1% 1.8%
Steven Hardee 3.9% 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.1% 6.8% 10.2% 8.6% 6.8%
Noah Robitshek 4.8% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 9.2% 11.2% 9.3%
Nick Chisari 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 8.1% 6.9% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 8.0% 7.8% 5.9% 6.5% 3.8% 2.4%
Justin Lim 13.1% 12.8% 11.7% 9.9% 10.5% 9.3% 8.2% 5.9% 6.4% 4.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Diogo Silva 3.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 8.6% 10.7% 12.2% 16.1% 18.1%
Owen Bannasch 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 9.5% 8.5% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.2% 4.5% 2.3%
Peter Lobaugh 10.3% 8.4% 9.4% 11.1% 8.9% 8.0% 8.2% 9.9% 7.0% 5.9% 4.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Max Kleha 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 6.7% 6.9% 8.7% 11.8% 16.0% 24.7%
Griffin Richardson 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 7.6% 8.0% 11.8% 15.6% 23.4%
Oscar MacGillivray 3.6% 3.7% 5.5% 5.2% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 6.0% 8.2% 9.8% 11.3% 10.8% 11.1% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.