Race 5B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 16.8% 17.1% 10.8% 11.0% 11.5% 8.8% 6.0% 5.1% 5.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Diogo Silva 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.6% 3.6% 5.1% 7.5% 6.2% 9.3% 12.3% 15.6% 17.2%
Lawson Levine 7.8% 8.4% 7.7% 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.4% 6.7% 8.3% 9.0% 7.3% 4.8% 4.0% 2.0%
Steven Hardee 4.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.5% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.4%
Javier Garcon 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 9.5% 7.4% 8.5% 10.1% 7.7% 6.5% 8.8% 6.6% 4.7% 3.7% 1.7%
Justin Lim 12.3% 11.4% 12.3% 11.1% 10.3% 9.0% 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.4% 3.8% 2.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 11.7% 11.2% 10.8% 8.6% 8.4% 10.3% 7.9% 8.5% 7.5% 4.4% 4.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Noah Robitshek 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 5.4% 5.9% 5.3% 7.7% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.1% 10.0% 9.8%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.7% 3.4% 3.1% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 10.5% 11.9% 10.8% 9.5%
Nick Chisari 7.1% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.0% 7.3% 9.1% 8.5% 6.8% 4.4% 1.8%
Max Kleha 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 7.2% 7.7% 11.6% 14.6% 26.9%
Peter Lobaugh 9.5% 8.7% 10.4% 10.5% 9.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 7.3% 6.4% 4.6% 2.8% 2.9% 1.3%
Owen Bannasch 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 6.5% 8.3% 7.1% 10.7% 8.6% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.1% 4.6% 2.5%
Griffin Richardson 2.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.9% 12.6% 17.1% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.