Race 7B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 15.4% 16.5% 14.4% 10.6% 9.9% 8.4% 7.4% 4.4% 4.4% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Diego Escobar 11.0% 11.7% 9.3% 8.7% 10.7% 9.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.3% 4.3% 4.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.8%
Diogo Silva 3.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 5.8% 10.3% 10.5% 17.4% 19.0%
Steven Hardee 4.0% 5.5% 6.2% 5.4% 7.9% 7.5% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 9.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.3% 5.3%
Max Kleha 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 11.7% 15.1% 25.7%
Justin Lim 12.7% 10.6% 11.1% 13.2% 9.3% 9.3% 7.4% 7.1% 5.9% 4.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Nick Chisari 7.2% 9.6% 7.2% 9.0% 7.3% 8.7% 6.6% 7.7% 10.1% 8.5% 6.2% 5.5% 4.0% 2.4%
Javier Garcon 8.9% 9.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.1% 6.5% 8.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.9% 2.0%
Lawson Levine 8.3% 6.0% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 10.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.2% 7.7% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5%
Owen Bannasch 6.2% 7.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 9.1% 8.6% 7.0% 7.9% 9.2% 7.2% 8.0% 5.5% 2.1%
Peter Lobaugh 10.3% 7.7% 9.9% 10.6% 9.4% 7.5% 9.7% 8.4% 7.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.1% 2.8% 0.9%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.2% 3.3% 4.4% 3.9% 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 7.9% 9.4% 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 9.3% 9.9%
Noah Robitshek 4.1% 4.9% 6.2% 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.1% 10.2% 9.8% 10.1% 8.5% 8.7%
Griffin Richardson 2.5% 2.6% 2.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.0% 5.8% 6.1% 8.5% 12.5% 17.3% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.