Race 8B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diogo Silva 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 6.4% 6.1% 8.1% 9.1% 10.8% 15.6% 18.6%
Steven Hardee 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 7.2% 9.7% 9.3% 7.4% 4.7%
Nick Chisari 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.0% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3%
Nathan Smith 14.8% 16.3% 13.0% 10.5% 10.6% 8.8% 7.3% 5.8% 5.5% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 8.4% 10.8% 10.3% 9.3% 10.8% 8.8% 7.6% 8.5% 7.6% 5.4% 5.9% 3.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Javier Garcon 8.9% 7.0% 8.7% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 6.2% 5.5% 4.0% 1.7%
Max Kleha 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 4.4% 4.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.6% 11.7% 14.6% 24.0%
Peter Lobaugh 10.6% 10.6% 10.1% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 6.4% 8.4% 7.1% 6.5% 4.9% 5.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Lawson Levine 8.4% 6.2% 8.0% 7.6% 9.5% 7.9% 10.4% 8.1% 8.5% 7.7% 6.9% 5.9% 3.2% 1.7%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.1% 6.4% 5.3% 5.6% 8.5% 7.4% 9.3% 9.1% 10.9% 11.9% 10.3%
Noah Robitshek 4.2% 4.7% 3.8% 5.6% 5.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 9.8% 10.8% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7%
Justin Lim 12.3% 11.7% 12.5% 12.1% 8.3% 11.0% 8.1% 6.4% 6.1% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Owen Bannasch 7.2% 7.9% 7.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 8.4% 8.7% 8.4% 7.2% 6.6% 4.7% 2.0%
Griffin Richardson 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 4.8% 5.0% 6.9% 8.4% 11.8% 17.0% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.