Race 9B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Chisari 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 9.7% 9.2% 6.0% 6.1% 2.6%
Steven Hardee 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 7.7% 7.0% 7.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.7% 10.2% 9.6% 6.8%
Diego Escobar 10.0% 10.7% 10.7% 10.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 8.6% 7.8% 5.1% 4.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Justin Lim 12.9% 13.5% 11.8% 10.9% 10.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 6.6% 4.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Peter Lobaugh 10.7% 11.0% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 10.7% 9.2% 8.3% 6.1% 6.9% 5.1% 2.3% 1.2%
Griffin Richardson 2.7% 2.1% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 12.3% 16.6% 25.0%
Javier Garcon 10.5% 8.5% 9.4% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 7.6% 6.5% 4.2% 1.2%
Max Kleha 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 6.2% 6.3% 10.2% 11.3% 17.0% 25.9%
Nathan Smith 15.7% 16.6% 13.2% 12.1% 10.4% 9.2% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 8.3% 5.7% 8.1% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 8.7% 8.2% 6.2% 3.2%
Lawson Levine 8.9% 8.9% 8.0% 9.0% 9.4% 10.5% 9.6% 8.3% 8.5% 7.2% 6.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Diogo Silva 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 5.8% 5.0% 4.9% 6.6% 10.5% 12.8% 15.9% 22.8%
Noah Robitshek 3.4% 4.3% 5.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.2% 10.7% 8.9% 11.9% 13.8% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.