Race 10B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Chisari 7.5% 7.8% 6.7% 10.9% 7.6% 7.2% 7.6% 11.1% 9.9% 9.0% 7.0% 4.7% 3.0%
Nathan Smith 16.4% 15.4% 13.4% 12.2% 11.6% 9.3% 6.7% 5.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Diogo Silva 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 9.4% 13.2% 17.9% 19.0%
Javier Garcon 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 10.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 10.3% 7.4% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 1.7%
Justin Lim 14.4% 14.4% 11.2% 10.8% 10.4% 9.7% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Diego Escobar 10.3% 11.4% 11.7% 8.7% 10.1% 10.1% 9.0% 7.9% 7.1% 6.1% 4.6% 2.6% 0.4%
Lawson Levine 9.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 7.9% 9.0% 10.0% 8.5% 8.0% 8.4% 6.8% 4.6% 1.7%
Owen Bannasch 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 9.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 10.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.6% 2.1%
Peter Lobaugh 9.5% 8.7% 12.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 7.3% 7.0% 6.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.4%
Steven Hardee 6.3% 5.8% 4.7% 6.1% 7.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 9.6% 7.7%
Noah Robitshek 4.2% 4.1% 7.1% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 7.9% 7.7% 11.0% 10.6% 11.3% 9.8% 7.9%
Griffin Richardson 1.9% 3.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 5.4% 6.1% 8.7% 12.4% 18.2% 26.0%
Max Kleha 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 5.6% 7.5% 8.5% 11.9% 16.5% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.