Race 4A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matthew Graham 16.2% 19.4% 17.8% 16.5% 13.7% 8.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Charlie Trost 3.3% 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 9.9% 12.4% 18.3% 15.4% 16.5% 7.8%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 48.1% 27.8% 14.9% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Thompson 7.8% 10.9% 14.2% 14.8% 17.2% 16.7% 8.8% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Steven Catlin 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 7.4% 12.7% 14.2% 23.1% 25.0%
Eric DeFeo 11.4% 11.0% 14.2% 18.6% 15.4% 13.6% 8.1% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
Will Cyr 7.6% 15.2% 17.5% 17.2% 16.5% 10.6% 9.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Anthony Julian 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 5.6% 6.4% 8.9% 12.1% 18.5% 19.1% 22.8%
Jamie Gay 1.1% 1.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.0% 7.6% 11.5% 13.7% 20.2% 35.2%
Nathaniel Walden 2.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.9% 9.8% 13.3% 14.8% 20.3% 13.9% 7.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.