Race 4A

31st-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Daniel Unangst 8.0% 7.6% 7.5% 8.9% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 4.0% 4.3% 2.3%
Christopher Lukens 6.1% 8.5% 9.5% 7.2% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2%
William Michels 9.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.6% 7.3% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 3.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Maks Groom 5.4% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 9.1% 6.2% 4.3%
Trevor Davis 7.0% 7.2% 8.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 9.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.0% 5.5% 4.4% 2.2%
Teddy Nicolosi 15.3% 14.6% 14.2% 11.2% 12.4% 7.5% 8.0% 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Jed Bell 6.0% 4.8% 5.3% 4.6% 4.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 7.9% 8.6% 8.9% 9.1% 6.8% 5.4%
Will Priebe 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.2% 8.3% 7.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.9% 6.5%
William Weinbecker 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 11.7% 12.2% 11.5%
Connell Phillipps 3.9% 4.4% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 5.7% 5.7% 7.6% 7.6% 9.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 7.6%
Ryan Mckinney 2.6% 2.0% 1.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 6.8% 8.7% 9.0% 14.5% 27.2%
Thad Lettsome 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.1% 7.2% 8.2% 6.9% 7.2% 8.4% 7.1% 8.5% 5.5% 2.1%
Humberto Porrata 1.9% 1.4% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 6.5% 7.9% 8.9% 18.2% 28.2%
Kerem Erkmen 13.5% 12.9% 11.5% 11.1% 9.4% 8.4% 9.1% 5.9% 5.6% 5.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Dylan Ascencios 8.0% 10.4% 7.9% 8.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 8.8% 7.7% 6.9% 4.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.