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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+6.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+4.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+3.52vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.53vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+0.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.14+2.81vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-2.69vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-3.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-1.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-2.74vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.07-3.48vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.40-5.92vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39College of Charleston2.497.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.408.3%1st Place
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7.52Yale University2.298.3%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.9%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.125.9%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.9112.3%1st Place
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12.81University of Wisconsin1.142.1%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.067.5%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.6%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University1.592.1%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
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12.52George Washington University1.072.6%1st Place
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11.08North Carolina State University1.403.0%1st Place
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13.54SUNY Maritime College0.721.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.6% |
| Robert Chase | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.