Race 5A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 50.2% 26.0% 12.8% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Graham 13.8% 20.1% 19.7% 16.9% 13.9% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Eric DeFeo 9.2% 12.4% 16.4% 15.5% 16.4% 12.9% 11.2% 4.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Will Cyr 8.4% 14.8% 17.5% 18.4% 14.8% 11.9% 8.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Matthew Thompson 8.7% 11.2% 14.1% 16.3% 16.9% 13.5% 10.0% 5.5% 3.1% 0.7%
Nathaniel Walden 3.8% 4.5% 5.0% 7.8% 8.8% 13.8% 17.5% 16.8% 12.9% 9.1%
Jamie Gay 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 6.2% 10.6% 15.7% 23.0% 32.8%
Anthony Julian 1.8% 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 10.6% 11.9% 15.7% 23.6% 20.6%
Charlie Trost 1.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 10.4% 14.5% 13.7% 19.6% 14.1% 7.6%
Steven Catlin 1.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 5.4% 7.6% 10.9% 16.1% 20.5% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.