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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.37+8.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+1.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+2.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.57vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.88+0.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.55+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27+0.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.70+0.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-2.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-5.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.48Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.15University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| James Paul | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| John Eastman | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Keenan | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 34.2% |
| Thomas Green | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.