Race 2C

31st-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emma Cowles 17.2% 16.6% 12.0% 12.6% 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Reeser 13.7% 12.5% 10.9% 12.0% 8.8% 9.3% 7.4% 5.4% 5.8% 4.6% 4.4% 2.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
William Keenan 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 6.4% 7.6% 8.1% 6.9% 8.9% 7.4% 6.4% 5.8% 3.1%
Jonathan Chance 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% 4.5% 7.4% 5.6% 6.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7% 8.8%
James Paul 10.8% 11.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.8% 8.9% 7.9% 9.7% 6.5% 5.4% 4.1% 4.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Eric Hansen 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.3% 7.7% 7.9% 5.9% 7.4% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6%
John Eastman 8.0% 6.3% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 9.7% 6.4% 8.3% 8.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 4.2% 2.6%
Joshua Dillon 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.4% 4.4% 6.9% 6.9% 8.1% 7.4% 11.8% 12.8% 11.3%
Thomas Green 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 3.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.8% 6.6% 8.9% 8.2% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 9.4% 4.5%
Jonathan Riley 4.8% 4.6% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 5.4% 6.8% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 9.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 3.8%
Leyton Borcherding 8.4% 9.1% 10.2% 8.6% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 8.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.3%
Andreas Keswater 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 4.5% 5.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.7% 7.5% 7.8% 9.7% 12.1% 12.2% 15.1%
Matthew Elliott 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 6.6% 5.0% 4.0% 2.8%
Calvin Lamosse 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 4.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 9.5% 10.9% 12.3% 11.7%
Andrew Powers 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 3.6% 5.7% 5.6% 7.0% 10.0% 15.0% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.