Race 4C

31st-captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Eric Hansen 7.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 7.3% 6.7% 8.5% 5.3% 6.2% 4.1% 4.0% 2.5%
Jonathan Riley 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 9.6% 6.1% 7.3% 6.0% 4.5%
Thomas Green 4.7% 4.3% 5.8% 4.8% 4.3% 6.9% 7.4% 5.6% 7.8% 6.3% 8.8% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 7.2%
Leyton Borcherding 9.2% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 6.8% 7.4% 6.7% 7.9% 6.2% 6.1% 5.5% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
James Paul 10.2% 11.6% 9.0% 8.7% 9.5% 7.8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 5.3% 4.1% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Nicholas Reeser 11.9% 11.2% 10.7% 9.9% 10.5% 10.3% 7.7% 7.9% 5.9% 5.3% 3.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Jonathan Chance 5.2% 4.0% 3.5% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.9% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 9.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.7%
John Eastman 6.9% 6.5% 8.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 7.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.2% 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 2.0%
Emma Cowles 16.0% 16.3% 13.1% 12.0% 9.3% 8.3% 8.2% 5.5% 3.9% 3.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
William Keenan 5.5% 4.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 8.0% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 5.7% 4.6%
Fritz Baldauf 2.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 3.1% 3.3% 5.1% 4.3% 6.4% 6.2% 7.6% 9.7% 14.6% 26.2%
Andreas Keswater 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 9.2% 11.5% 14.5% 15.1%
Matthew Elliott 6.6% 7.2% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 9.7% 7.8% 7.8% 6.3% 5.9% 3.8% 2.7%
Joshua Dillon 2.8% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 5.6% 6.7% 6.8% 10.4% 10.6% 12.1% 11.9%
Calvin Lamosse 3.3% 4.3% 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 5.8% 3.9% 6.7% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 9.2% 11.1% 12.9% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.