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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.41+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.49+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.86-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.25-0.43vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.69+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.38+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.25-1.50vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University1.25-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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1.89University of Wisconsin4.100.5%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan2.490.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Michigan2.860.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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7.55Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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7.81Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.57Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric DeFeo | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 49.8% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cyr | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 12.3% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Thompson | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Julian | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 22.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 33.1% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 26.9% |
| Charlie Trost | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.