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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric DeFeo 10.4% 13.3% 16.2% 15.9% 14.1% 13.2% 10.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.8%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 49.8% 25.6% 14.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Cyr 9.5% 13.7% 15.4% 18.1% 16.3% 13.0% 9.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Graham 12.3% 21.2% 20.6% 18.1% 13.1% 8.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Thompson 8.9% 10.6% 12.1% 17.5% 16.8% 15.0% 10.0% 5.8% 2.7% 0.6%
Anthony Julian 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 9.3% 12.2% 15.6% 23.1% 22.0%
Jamie Gay 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 7.2% 9.8% 17.6% 21.1% 33.1%
Nathaniel Walden 2.6% 4.7% 6.4% 6.6% 11.2% 12.8% 16.7% 16.5% 14.7% 7.8%
Steven Catlin 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 8.7% 9.9% 17.4% 21.7% 26.9%
Charlie Trost 2.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 11.7% 11.6% 17.3% 17.7% 14.1% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.