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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.41+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.49+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.25+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.86-1.70vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25+0.46vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56+0.82vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.69-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.25-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.38-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Wisconsin3.190.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Michigan2.490.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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6.46Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.82Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.51Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric DeFeo | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Lee | 28.7% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Cyr | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Thompson | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 19.6% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 26.1% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 19.8% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.