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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+5.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+4.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+5.32vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+3.63vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22+1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.420.00vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.49-2.13vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+0.61vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.09vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81+0.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.29-5.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-4.52vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.82-5.97vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.40-4.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.49vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.6%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.127.6%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.2%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.034.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.225.9%1st Place
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8.0University of Pennsylvania2.426.8%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston2.499.6%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.714.2%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.7%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University1.812.4%1st Place
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7.37Yale University2.298.4%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University1.794.6%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University1.825.6%1st Place
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11.28North Carolina State University1.402.9%1st Place
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15.51SUNY Maritime College-0.020.8%1st Place
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12.4University of Wisconsin1.142.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Robert Chase | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 50.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.