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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric DeFeo 13.8% 14.3% 15.4% 14.1% 14.5% 12.0% 9.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Michael Lee 28.7% 22.9% 18.0% 14.1% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Will Cyr 13.6% 14.7% 13.4% 15.2% 16.5% 12.8% 9.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Matthew Thompson 10.2% 11.6% 14.6% 16.3% 15.2% 13.5% 9.0% 6.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Matthew Graham 19.6% 21.5% 18.2% 15.3% 11.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Charlie Trost 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 9.8% 13.2% 15.9% 17.1% 13.0% 9.7%
Steven Catlin 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 3.6% 4.9% 7.4% 12.9% 18.1% 21.1% 26.1%
Anthony Julian 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 9.2% 12.8% 14.9% 25.1% 19.8%
Nathaniel Walden 4.1% 4.3% 6.2% 6.6% 10.3% 13.5% 14.5% 17.6% 14.5% 8.4%
Jamie Gay 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 7.3% 8.8% 15.0% 20.8% 34.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.