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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.09+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.51+0.58vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.55-2.46vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.43-3.28vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.56-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.08University of British Columbia-0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 40.7% | 24.8% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Smith | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 16.6% |
| Dale Whitmore | 13.8% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 36.1% |
| Benjamin Luu | 14.0% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 5.9% |
| Zach Thompson | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.