← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-0.09+4.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.55+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.57+3.12vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.64vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-0.46+0.71vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.56-0.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-1.16+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.43-3.96vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University0.21-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.14University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
-
6.12Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
2.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
-
5.71University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.97University of British Columbia-0.560.1%1st Place
-
7.17University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
-
4.04Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.47Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| Clay Myers | 37.3% | 26.3% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| Zach Thompson | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 39.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.4% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Nikolo Vo | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.