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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+1.68vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.41+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.29+0.30vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.93+1.41vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.00-2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-2.42vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.50-3.31vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.09-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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4.56California Poly Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.3University of British Columbia0.290.2%1st Place
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5.41Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.69Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 31.2% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Etienne Quille | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 19.1% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 15.4% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 14.0% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.