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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+1.84vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+0.78vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.63+1.12vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.14-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.51-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Washington0.380.2%1st Place
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2.78Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University-0.630.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University0.140.2%1st Place
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5.42University of British Columbia-1.810.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Victoria0.510.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 22.5% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.9% |
| Dalton Lovett | 24.5% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% |
| Soren Althoff | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 35.8% | 16.5% |
| Kevin Hicks | 17.3% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 3.9% |
| Andy Hsiao | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 13.7% | 71.8% |
| Dale Whitmore | 25.4% | 23.7% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.