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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+2.26vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+0.10vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.14-0.51vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.63-0.06vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.63+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.16-0.94vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.15-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-1.81-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Washington0.380.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.1Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.49Western Washington University0.140.2%1st Place
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4.94Western Washington University-0.630.1%1st Place
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6.83Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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5.99Oregon State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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7.18University of British Columbia-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 22.1% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Murphy | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 23.6% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Hicks | 19.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Soren Althoff | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 27.3% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 12.5% |
| Marty Weigel | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Andy Hsiao | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.