Race 1A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Gavula 15.1% 14.4% 11.6% 13.7% 14.3% 10.0% 10.3% 9.2% 1.4%
Lauren Ehnot 8.5% 10.6% 11.8% 11.8% 12.8% 13.5% 12.8% 13.1% 5.1%
Connor Mraz 19.1% 15.6% 16.9% 12.1% 13.1% 10.3% 7.7% 4.3% 0.9%
Nicholas Sessions 14.0% 13.4% 13.2% 14.3% 12.0% 11.2% 11.3% 8.0% 2.6%
Reed Weston 11.1% 12.3% 12.0% 12.2% 10.3% 12.1% 12.6% 10.6% 6.8%
Lars Osell 8.0% 9.1% 10.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.6% 15.8% 14.3% 7.8%
Thomas Walker 7.0% 7.2% 9.5% 8.1% 11.6% 14.5% 13.3% 19.3% 9.5%
Stewart Gurnell 15.2% 15.0% 12.9% 13.5% 11.1% 12.5% 9.5% 7.8% 2.5%
Samuel Stephens 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 6.7% 13.4% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.