Race 8A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric DeFeo 13.4% 14.6% 14.7% 14.7% 13.3% 13.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Michael Lee 28.1% 23.5% 18.8% 13.6% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Cyr 13.9% 13.1% 14.5% 16.7% 16.7% 10.9% 9.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Graham 19.5% 20.3% 17.4% 17.0% 12.0% 8.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 5.9% 7.9% 10.0% 14.6% 22.3% 26.6%
Matthew Thompson 12.2% 10.9% 14.1% 13.8% 15.3% 13.1% 12.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Jamie Gay 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 4.3% 6.5% 10.9% 14.8% 23.0% 33.0%
Charlie Trost 3.8% 5.2% 5.9% 6.5% 9.9% 12.7% 14.8% 20.0% 13.5% 7.7%
Anthony Julian 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 8.5% 12.2% 17.2% 21.3% 22.9%
Nathaniel Walden 3.0% 5.6% 6.8% 6.1% 9.1% 13.3% 15.6% 17.9% 14.4% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.