Race 3A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Stewart Gurnell 15.4% 13.7% 13.3% 13.5% 13.2% 11.1% 9.7% 8.4% 1.7%
Nicholas Sessions 10.3% 13.0% 13.6% 12.0% 14.1% 12.1% 11.0% 9.9% 4.0%
Connor Mraz 19.5% 16.0% 16.0% 12.8% 11.9% 10.1% 8.1% 4.8% 0.8%
Samuel Gavula 15.3% 14.9% 13.5% 14.0% 11.5% 11.7% 10.4% 6.7% 2.0%
Thomas Walker 7.6% 9.8% 9.9% 10.6% 10.4% 10.8% 13.7% 16.7% 10.5%
Lauren Ehnot 10.2% 11.7% 10.8% 13.3% 12.4% 12.2% 15.5% 10.0% 3.9%
Reed Weston 10.0% 9.6% 11.7% 10.2% 13.5% 14.1% 12.5% 13.7% 4.7%
Lars Osell 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 10.7% 9.8% 13.7% 13.2% 16.0% 9.1%
Samuel Stephens 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 13.8% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.