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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.75+3.13vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.18vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+0.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.81-1.22vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-2.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.05-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Wisconsin1.750.1%1st Place
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3.72Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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4.78Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.14Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Reed Weston | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 6.2% |
| Thomas Walker | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 11.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.