Race 5A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Reed Weston 10.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.6% 13.3% 13.3% 13.5% 12.5% 5.2%
Stewart Gurnell 11.5% 14.6% 13.0% 13.4% 15.4% 11.3% 10.2% 7.4% 3.2%
Connor Mraz 18.3% 15.8% 16.8% 14.1% 10.6% 11.0% 8.0% 4.4% 1.0%
Lauren Ehnot 11.0% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 12.6% 12.4% 10.9% 11.6% 4.7%
Cole Woodworth 16.3% 17.4% 14.2% 11.0% 10.7% 11.1% 9.6% 6.9% 2.8%
Nicholas Sessions 13.8% 12.0% 13.0% 14.7% 12.4% 12.0% 10.3% 8.6% 3.2%
Thomas Walker 7.2% 6.6% 8.3% 10.6% 11.2% 13.0% 14.7% 19.4% 9.0%
Samuel Stephens 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 3.0% 4.6% 6.7% 13.1% 63.2%
Lars Osell 9.3% 8.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 16.1% 16.1% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.