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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.75+2.00vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.81+0.69vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-1.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-0.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin1.750.1%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.64Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Reed Weston | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 5.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 11.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.2% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 13.7% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Walker | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 63.4% |
| Lars Osell | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.