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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.81+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.33vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.21vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-0.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-1.62vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.75-3.07vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.05-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.74Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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4.13Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Wisconsin1.750.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Ehnot | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.9% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Lars Osell | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.2% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 9.7% |
| Reed Weston | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.