Race 10A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Connor Mraz 16.9% 15.5% 13.8% 14.1% 12.7% 12.2% 8.3% 5.9% 0.6%
Hayden Earl 22.2% 23.2% 16.4% 14.6% 10.1% 6.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.3%
Stewart Gurnell 12.3% 11.1% 14.0% 13.8% 13.7% 12.9% 11.1% 8.6% 2.5%
Thomas Walker 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 10.8% 10.7% 12.3% 13.9% 22.8% 7.2%
Nicholas Sessions 11.2% 14.0% 13.8% 11.5% 12.0% 12.3% 12.4% 9.4% 3.4%
Lars Osell 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 9.7% 12.7% 12.3% 18.1% 18.0% 6.1%
Reed Weston 8.9% 8.3% 10.1% 11.1% 12.4% 14.7% 15.9% 13.9% 4.7%
Samuel Gavula 13.3% 11.8% 13.4% 12.1% 12.9% 14.1% 10.1% 9.8% 2.5%
Jack Hammett 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 5.5% 9.7% 72.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.